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January 20, 2010 15:59:54 | in politics

Lima's mayor leads Peru's presidential poll one year from elections

LivinginPeru.com
http://filer.livinginperu.com/Luis Castañeda
Luis Castañeda, the current mayor of Lima, leads the polls.
http://filer.livinginperu.com/Keiko Fujimori
Keiko Fujimori, daughter of former president, is second in the polls and leads with women.

Presidential elections in Peru are one year away. Last week, a poll by El Comercio and Ipsos Apoyo revealed some interesting tendencies in how the public plans to vote, broken down by region, socio-economic levels (A to E, A being richest) and gender.

Luis Castañeda, Lima's quiet mayor, leads the polls, with 23 percent of the polled saying they'd vote for him if the elections were tomorrow. Keiko Fuijimori is still in second place, and is the number one choice for women voters. Ollanta Humala, the nationalist candidate, has taken in the lead in regions outside of the capital, and trails Fujimori by three percentage points on the national level.

For now, see the chart below.

If tomorrow were Peru's presidential elections, who would you vote for?
   National 
 Lima
Interior
S.E. Level A
S.E. Level D Men
Women
 Luis Castañeda

 23%  30%
 17%
 22%
 18%
 26%
 20%
 Keiko Fujimori

  18%  19%
 18%
 12%
 22%
 14%
 22%
 Ollanta Humala

  15%  9%  21%
 —  22%  15%
 15%
 Alejandro Toledo

  9%  9%
 8%
 7%
 8%
 5%
 9%
 Lourdes Flores

  7%  6%
 7%  13%
 5%
 5%
 7%
 Pedro Kuczynski

  3%  3%  3%
 27%
 1%
 3%
 3%
 Álex Kouri

  3%  5%
 1%
 3%
 3%
 2%
 3%
 Jaime Bayly

  2%  2%
 2%
 3%  3%
 3%
 1%
 Other

  7%  6%
 8%
 10%
 6%
 10%
 6%
 Will leave blank

  7%  4%
 10%
 —
 8%  7%
 8%
 Doesn't specify

  6%  7%  5%  3%  5%
 6%
 6% 

The survey was carried out between Jan. 13 and 15 by Ipsos Apoyo Opinión y Mercado S.A. for El Comercio. The sample is 500 people. Margin of error is ±4%.

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